Jochen Robes über Bildung, Lernen und Trends

e-learning outlook for 2012: will it be a rough ride?

Wahrscheinlich einer der kompetentesten Ausblicke, der in den letzten Tagen geschrieben wurde! Überhaupt kann ich Tony Bates und seine Beiträge nur wärmstens empfehlen!

„The general trends are not going to change much from 2011 (which I identified as course redesign, mobile learning, more multimedia, learning analytics,and shared services), but some of the specifics are becoming clearer. Below I’ve ranked my predictions in order of significance for higher education, and also given a probability rating of the prediction actually happening.

1. The year of the tablet: 99% probable …
2. Learning analytics: 90% probable …
3. Growth of open education: 70% probable (depending on definition of open education) …
4. Disruption in the LMS market: 60% probable …
5. Integration of social media into formal learning: 66% probable on a large scale …
6. The digital university: 10% probability …
7. Watch India …
8. The great unknown: 10% probability …“

Tony Bates, e-learning and distant education resources, 2 Januar 2012

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